Russia’s difficult situation after ordering 300,000 troops to Ukraine
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Russia’s difficult situation after ordering 300,000 troops to Ukraine

(Dan Tri) – Experts say that Russia’s move to mobilize up to 300,000 troops to Ukraine will increase Moscow’s power but also cause them to face many challenges to implement effectively.

Observers believe that Russia’s move to mobilize its forces is a long-term move (Photo: Reuters).

On September 21, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a partial mobilization order, a development that allowed Moscow to mobilize up to 300,000 troops for the military campaign in Ukraine.

According to Russian officials, the country possesses a large mobilization capacity, able to summon nearly 25 million people with some military experience, so the current mobilization decision is only to mobilize more than 1% of the force.

Russian officials affirmed that partial mobilization of forces is reasonable and necessary to reinforce the front line in Ukraine, which currently stretches more than 1,000km.

The war could last longer

Observers say that Russia’s first move to mobilize forces after World War II shows that Putin’s government seems to be preparing for a long war in Ukraine.

Breaking Defense said Russia’s move seems to send a┬ámessage to Ukraine about Moscow’s military potential in the context of the conflict between the two sides becoming a war of attrition.

According to Moscow Times, mobilizing more troops is a long process, meaning it cannot have a quick impact on the battlefield situation, but it is meaningful in the long term.

Although Russia’s reserve force is an experienced force, it has not been regularly trained for a long time, so Russia will need time to do this, according to expert Mark Cancian from the CSIS center (USA).

Mr. Cancian said this move will put pressure on Ukraine in its counter-offensive campaign to regain territory.

Russia's difficult situation after ordering 300,000 troops to Ukraine

The war between Russia and Ukraine is still going on fiercely (Photo: AFP).

Expert Samuel Charap from RAND said that the impact of the mobilization order on the war situation is still unclear, but Russia has sent a clear signal that it will continue to maintain and accelerate the pace of the military campaign.

Russia can expect that the energy crisis will cause the West to reduce its support for Ukraine this winter and then Russia will have an advantage by preparing in advance.

On the other hand, according to observers, the move to mobilize more troops may be related to the fact that four regions in Ukraine have announced plans to hold a referendum to merge with Russia from September 23-27.

With new forces added to Donbass in the East as well as Zaporozhye and Kherson in the South, Russia can increase security for these areas in the face of Ukraine’s intensive counterattack efforts in recent weeks and in the future.

With reservists needing more training, their initial role in Ukraine will likely be defensive in areas controlled by Russia and pro-Russian forces.

Challenges

The mobilization order is partly considered a long-term move by Russia, but it also contains certain challenges.

Russia will have to face additional training for reservists even though they have previous experience.

On the other hand, observers say, Russia will face challenges in terms of providing logistics and weapons for its soldiers.

`The Russian army is not currently equipping 300,000 reserve soldiers quickly and effectively enough when they also face the difficult problem of providing reinforcements to professional soldiers participating in the war in Ukraine,` expert Alex Lord from

To solve the problem of the number of weapons, Russian defense contractors are trying to boost production to meet the needs of the military, following President Putin’s mobilization order.

Russia's difficult situation after ordering 300,000 troops to Ukraine

An important bridge in Russia’s logistics supply line was damaged by Ukraine (Photo: Reuters).

On the other hand, Russia will have to solve the logistics supply problem in the near future when the West increasingly sends Ukraine precision weapons such as the HIMARS multiple launch fire system.

In addition, 300,000 is the target number set by Russia, but how effective and how quickly it can be mobilized is still an open question.

Russia has not mobilized its forces in decades and they may need time to operate this mechanism smoothly.

Russia launched military reform in 2008 with the goal of modernizing and professionalizing the force.

Expert Lord estimates that it could take Russia about 3 months to mobilize its forces.

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